Broken Promises

The Crisafulli Government has cancelled and delayed major health and infrastructure projects. Then approved a stadium.

The Crisafulli Government has cited cost blowouts to cancel, delay or scale back projects across Qld. The same standard has not been applied to the Victoria Park stadium. We are asking why.

Illustration: health and transport projects cut or delayed while a stadium goes ahead

Maroochydore rail

Pre-election promise abandoned · Full line cost estimate: $12B

Before the October 2024 state election, the LNP promised Sunshine Coast voters it would deliver heavy passenger rail all the way to Maroochydore by 2032. Jarrod Bleijie stood in Maroochydore and made that commitment explicitly, arguing Labor's shorter plan would turn Caloundra into a car park for the rest of the coast.

In March 2025, the government announced The Wave: heavy rail terminating at Birtinya, with a bus rapid transit connection substituted for the remaining distance to Maroochydore. Rail to Maroochydore by 2032 is no longer being delivered. Stage 1 from Beerwah to Caloundra is fully funded at $5.5B. Stage 2 from Caloundra to Birtinya has only $40M committed for planning and market readiness, with full funding subject to separate approval and not yet secured.

The same Deputy Premier who made that promise to Sunshine Coast voters cancelled the Gold Coast light rail on cost grounds and has not called for an independent cost review of the Victoria Park stadium.

Claims & sources

Claim

The Wave terminates at Birtinya with bus rapid transit substituted to Maroochydore. Stage 2 funding is not secured. Stage 1 cost is $5.5B. Only $40M committed to Stage 2 planning.

Artist impression: heavy passenger rail to Maroochydore at a coastal station

Gold Coast Light Rail Stage 4

Cancelled · Upper cost estimate: $9.8B

A 13km extension from Burleigh Heads to Coolangatta and Gold Coast Airport had been in planning for years. When cost estimates grew beyond earlier projections, Deputy Premier Jarrod Bleijie cancelled the project on 1 September 2025, citing financial risk to the state. The government said the numbers no longer stacked up.

Bleijie drew a line in the sand on transport costs here. He has not applied the same test to Victoria Park.

Claims & sources

Claim

Bleijie cancelled Gold Coast Light Rail Stage 4 on 1 September 2025, citing financial risk. Upper cost estimate $9.8B.

Gold Coast light rail, Stage 4 to Coolangatta, was cancelled in September 2025

Qld Cancer Centre

Delivery date gone, no replacement date given · Original opening date: 2028 · Cost blowout: $1B+

In December 2023, the Qld Government announced the Cancer Centre with a budget of $1.125B, a 2028 opening date, construction to begin in the first half of 2024, Lendlease named as preferred contractor and Billard Leece Partnership appointed as lead architect. That commitment was reaffirmed as recently as July 2024 when the Miles Government released its Qld Cancer Plan. The project was shovel ready.

After taking office, the Crisafulli Government ordered an independent review of the health infrastructure programme. That review, led by Klok Advisory and reported in April 2025, found the Cancer Centre had no evidence of planning work completed and that costs had grown by more than $1B, pushing delivery back by at least three years. The project is now sitting dormant.

The government's Hospital Rescue Plan, announced in April 2025 and updated in December 2025, provided confirmed delivery dates for every other major hospital project in the programme. The Cancer Centre was listed under a general "Cancer Centre of Excellence" heading with no opening date attached.

Queenslanders were promised a cancer centre opening in 2028. They now have no date and no confirmed funding allocation. A project that was shovel ready is sitting idle. Meanwhile a new stadium has been approved, funded and given a hard deadline of 2032.

Claims & sources

Claim

The Cancer Centre was announced in December 2023 with a $1.125B budget, 2028 opening date, Lendlease as preferred contractor and Billard Leece Partnership as lead architect. Reaffirmed July 2024. The project was shovel ready.

Queensland Cancer Centre: major hospital facility at dusk

Victoria Park stadium rail connection

Cost not disclosed

A new Cross River Rail station has been proposed to service the Victoria Park precinct, given its significant distance from the existing Exhibition station. That cost does not appear in the headline $3.785B stadium figure. The QAO has separately confirmed that Cross River Rail itself grew from an original budget of $5.4B to a confirmed final cost of $19.041B, with first passenger services now expected in 2029 rather than the promised 2024.

The true cost of the Victoria Park precinct is higher than the government is disclosing. An independent review would establish the full figure.

Claims & sources

Claim

A new Cross River Rail station has been proposed for the Victoria Park precinct. That cost does not appear in the $3.785B stadium figure.

Victoria Park stadium precinct and proposed Cross River Rail station connection

Who carries the risk?

The Commonwealth contribution to the Victoria Park precinct is capped at $3.435B. Under the Intergovernmental Agreement, every dollar above that figure is carried entirely by Qld taxpayers. Independent analysis projects the full precinct cost at $8.49B by 2032. On those figures, Qld taxpayers are exposed to more than $5B in cost risk on a budget that has never been independently reviewed.

Claims & sources

Claim

The Commonwealth contribution is capped at $3.435B. Under the Intergovernmental Agreement, 100% of cost escalation above that figure is carried by Qld taxpayers. Independent analysis projects the full precinct cost at $8.49B by 2032, exposing Qld taxpayers to more than $5B in cost risk.

  • Dr Nei Peach, "Current Listing of Project Costs and Unfunded Services for Victoria Park Barrambin," April 2025 — confirms Commonwealth contribution capped at $3.435B and that under the IGA, 100% of cost escalation risk resides with the Qld taxpayer.
  • Arcadis independent precinct cost estimate, February 2026: $5.998B. On file with QRG.

The pattern is consistent.

When cost pressure is convenient, the government cancels. When cost pressure is inconvenient, it asks Queenslanders to trust the number.

Cross River Rail was promised at $5.4B and will cost $19.041B. A pre-election promise of rail to Maroochydore was replaced with a shorter line and buses once the cost reality became clear. The Gold Coast light rail was cancelled outright. The Cancer Centre had a date, a contractor, an architect and a budget. It was shovel ready. It now has none of those things confirmed and is sitting idle.

The Arcadis precinct estimate already put Victoria Park at $5.998B before the current construction cost environment. Construction costs have risen approximately 7 to 7.5 per cent since the official stadium figure was set. Independent analysis projects a further $800M in inflation through to 2029, producing a conservative full precinct estimate of between $6.4B and $7B at today's prices. Accounting for projected construction cost growth through to 2032, independent analysis puts the figure at $8.49B by the time the Games begin.

We are not opposed to the Olympics. We are opposed to approving a project without knowing what it will actually cost.

Claims & sources

Claim

Official stadium cost $3.785B (stadium only). Qld Government budget and planning documents.

Claim

Arcadis independent precinct cost estimate $5.998B, February 2026. Arcadis precinct cost estimate, February 2026. On file with QRG.

Claim

Construction costs have risen approximately 7 to 7.5 per cent since the official figure was set. Independent analysis projects a further $800M in inflation through to 2029. Conservative full precinct estimate $6.4B–$7B. Projected cost by 2032: $8.49B.